Please excuse me if this is a silly question but I'm new in this. In this paper:
http://polymer.bu.edu/hes/articles/ggps03.pdf
the authors claim that: P(|r| > x) ~ x^-ζ, ζ ~ 3
where r is the change of the logarithm of stock price in a given time interval;
But that does no compute properly. If for example:
p(t) = 45 and p(t - Δt) = 40 then r = 0.1178
Then: P(r > 0.11) = 0.11 ^-3 ?
or do we have to multiply the return by 100?
P(r > 1.1) = 1.1 ^-3 = 0.75 ?
Probability of returns
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