Trading CDO/CLO tranches

Sell the highs, buy the lows, take their money, bash their nose.
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Rookie_Quant
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Joined: Thu Jan 01, 2004 12:00 am

Trading CDO/CLO tranches

Post by Rookie_Quant »

@Cheng



I'd call it an advisory role that is not entirely orthogonal to my research agenda :)
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day1pnl
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Joined: Thu Jan 01, 2004 12:00 am

Trading CDO/CLO tranches

Post by day1pnl »

@RQ did you get any closer to a solution to your problem and have you decided on the CDO vs CLO question?



@RQ+Cheng: On synthetics side we are using fairly well known models for both tranches and CDS and there is tradeable markets for both correlation, index and single names. In that sense synthetics are quite simple especially the pure CDSindex based tranches. I have renewed interest in understanding this CLOs / cash CDOs as a lot of ppl are active in the space. but find them to be somewhere between relatively extremely difficult to impossible to model and mark-to-market. CLO waterfalls have “hard” path dependcies, in addition to callability and unobservable single name markets. How do people get away with the modeling on sell-side? Is anything modeled there at all or are new tranches simply “priced” statistically off a tranche spread vs ratings curve in 2ndry mkts?
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Cheng
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Joined: Thu Jan 01, 2004 12:00 am

Trading CDO/CLO tranches

Post by Cheng »

Trying to mark-to-market CLOs and generally structured cash stuff based on waterfall, single name spreads and - heaven forbid! - correlations is the highway to hell, fast lane. Best is to leave it alone.



Pricing is based on where the secondary market trades, based on ratings and structure (i.e. you build a pricing gird from US CLOs across ratings and tenors for example and interpolate or match your transaction). In the primary is it more or less what you can get away with imo.
"No trade with death / No trade with arms / Dispense the war / Learn from the past"
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