Savings Plan Simulator

Equities, FX, commodities, fixed income, and volatility.
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finanzmaster
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Joined: Thu Jan 01, 2004 12:00 am

Savings Plan Simulator

Post by finanzmaster »

In Germany private investors tended to life insurances and deposits but since the Supermario killed interest rate in EU-Zone, there are lot of ETF providers and robo-advisors that repeat the mantra: in the long term your investment in stocks or an index ETF will grow.

Though for a one-time investment it is generally true (however, not always, recall NIKKEI), it is far away from truth for a savings plan.

For instance, even if you run your savings plan for 30 years and assume annually 6% expected return and 20% volatility (very optimistic, indeed), you will make losses in ca. 15% of scenarios. And if your saving plan lasts "only" 10 years, the number of scenarios with losses will be about 30%! Try to simulate your savings plan yourself!



https://letyourmoneygrow.com/2017/11/08/savings-plan-scenario-simulator/
www.yetanotherquant.de - Yet another, yet very reader-friendly, introduction to the measure theory
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